Decision-making
Intermediate
Decisions Under Uncertainty
A founder's toolkit of mental models for the high-stakes calls that don't have a clean answer.
When the data runs out, judgement takes over, and judgement can be trained. This course walks through the mental models and decision processes behind hard calls: base rates, expected value, pre-mortems, reversible vs irreversible decisions, and how to disagree-and-commit without wreckage.
Each module pairs a model with a real founder case and a live decision you bring to the room.
Each module pairs a model with a real founder case and a live decision you bring to the room.
What you'll learn
Separate reversible from irreversible decisions and act accordingly
Use pre-mortems to kill bad calls before they happen
Reason with base rates and expected value under uncertainty
Run a clean disagree-and-commit
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